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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 November 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 29
  6. 40
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,159 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-11-20All recent draws2024-11-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 22 27 29 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each

3166times
17194times
22183times
27154times
29

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 299k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$535.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$533.1K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$602.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

181times
40177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,158 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 22, 27, 29) with the draw of 9 December 2020 — its closest relative in 1,158 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2024): 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 14 by chanceNZ$15,971
  • Match 5413≈ 458 by chanceNZ$652
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,230≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 418,456≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,654≈ 24k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3252,509≈ 253k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 26,654 winners, 9% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$15,971
    Match 5413NZ$652
    Match 4 + Bonus1,230NZ$50.00
    Match 418,456NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,654NZ$20.00
    Match 3252,509NZ$0.00
    Totals299,281—