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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 29 January 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 27
  6. 40
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,178 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-01-25All recent draws2025-02-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 15 16 27 40 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each

1183times
3172times
15195times
16170times
27

Prize breakdown · 2025-01-29

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 218k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 645%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$400.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$380.5K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$443.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

159times
40180times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,177 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 16, 27) with the draw of 7 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,177 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 January 2025): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 10 by chanceNZ$22,203
  • Match 5359≈ 336 by chanceNZ$552
  • Match 4 + Bonus827≈ 841 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 413,335≈ 13k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,117≈ 18k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3185,396≈ 185k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 827 winners, 2% fewer than the 841 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$22,203
    Match 5359NZ$552
    Match 4 + Bonus827NZ$55.00
    Match 413,335NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,117NZ$21.00
    Match 3185,396NZ$0.00
    Totals218,046—