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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 5 February 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 18
  5. 21
  6. 37
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,180 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-02-01All recent draws2025-02-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 11 18 21 37 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each

1185times
5172times
11163times
18171times
21

Prize breakdown · 2025-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 241k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 643%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$424.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$421.7K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$476.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

177times
37164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,179 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 21, 37) with the draw of 20 March 2024 — its closest relative in 1,179 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2025): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 11 by chanceNZ$42,966
  • Match 5385≈ 369 by chanceNZ$553
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,076≈ 923 by chanceNZ$45.00
  • Match 415,154≈ 15k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,084≈ 20k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3203,550≈ 204k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,076 winners, 17% more than the 923 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$42,966
    Match 5385NZ$553
    Match 4 + Bonus1,076NZ$45.00
    Match 415,154NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,084NZ$20.00
    Match 3203,550NZ$0.00
    Totals241,255—