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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 April 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 25
  5. 32
  6. 39
  7. 28

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,200 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-04-12All recent draws2025-04-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 10 25 32 39 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 April 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

4172times
9166times
10196times
25191times
32

Prize breakdown · 2025-04-16

  • Lines in play≈ 8.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 288k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$548K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$535.3K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$620.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

177times
39164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,199 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 25, 32, 39) with the draw of 2 February 2022 — its closest relative in 1,199 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 April 2025): 10, 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 13 by chanceNZ$17,481
  • Match 5427≈ 445 by chanceNZ$650
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,025≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 418,265≈ 18k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,275≈ 24k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3244,981≈ 245k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,025 winners, 8% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$17,481
    Match 5427NZ$650
    Match 4 + Bonus1,025NZ$62.00
    Match 418,265NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,275NZ$23.00
    Match 3244,981NZ$0.00
    Totals287,990—