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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 May 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 23
  7. 28

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,205 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-04-30All recent draws2025-05-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 13 21 22 23 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

1191times
11171times
13187times
21184times
22

Prize breakdown · 2025-05-03

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 326k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$526.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$494.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$578.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

190times
23200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,204 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 21, 22, 23) with the draw of 26 February 2025 — its closest relative in 1,204 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2025): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22, 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$17,357
  • Match 5695≈ 501 by chanceNZ$372
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,240≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 421,920≈ 20k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,019≈ 27k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3276,282≈ 276k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 695 winners, 39% more than the 501 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$17,357
    Match 5695NZ$372
    Match 4 + Bonus1,240NZ$48.00
    Match 421,920NZ$24.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,019NZ$19.00
    Match 3276,282NZ$0.00
    Totals326,174—