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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 19 July 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 12
  4. 16
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,227 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-07-16All recent draws2025-07-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 12 16 33 37 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

4176times
6181times
12195times
16176times
33

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 267k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$521.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$511.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$577.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

182times
37168times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,226 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 12, 16) with the draw of 27 April 2024 — its closest relative in 1,226 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2025): 33 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$20,017
  • Match 5383≈ 415 by chanceNZ$674
  • Match 4 + Bonus923≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 416,309≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,468≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3228,521≈ 229k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 923 winners, 11% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$20,017
    Match 5383NZ$674
    Match 4 + Bonus923NZ$64.00
    Match 416,309NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,468NZ$25.00
    Match 3228,521NZ$0.00
    Totals266,618—