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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 July 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 33
  6. 38
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,230 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-07-26All recent draws2025-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 27 28 33 38 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

5179times
10201times
27170times
28188times
33

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 262k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$498.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$495.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$561.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

183times
38175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,229 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 10, 28, 33) with the draw of 10 February 2024 — its closest relative in 1,229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 12 by chanceNZ$31,618
  • Match 5390≈ 406 by chanceNZ$643
  • Match 4 + Bonus983≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 416,080≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,534≈ 22k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3223,487≈ 223k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 983 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$31,618
    Match 5390NZ$643
    Match 4 + Bonus983NZ$59.00
    Match 416,080NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,534NZ$23.00
    Match 3223,487NZ$0.00
    Totals262,485—