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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 27 September 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 19
  6. 35
  7. 14

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,247 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-09-24All recent draws2025-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 15 17 19 35 + 1413 Sept 2026, 00:25 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

6186times
10206times
15204times
17207times
19

Prize breakdown · 2025-09-27

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 294k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$529.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$503.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$588.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

210times
35192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,246 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 17, 19, 35) with the draw of 30 August 2014 — its closest relative in 1,246 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2025): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus4≈ 14 by chanceNZ$66,273
  • Match 5503≈ 455 by chanceNZ$523
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,057≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 418,906≈ 18k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,905≈ 24k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3250,602≈ 251k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,057 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus4NZ$66,273
    Match 5503NZ$523
    Match 4 + Bonus1,057NZ$57.00
    Match 418,906NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,905NZ$22.00
    Match 3250,602NZ$0.00
    Totals293,979—