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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 February 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 20
  4. 23
  5. 26
  6. 39
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,291 of 1,359 under them

← 2026-02-25All recent draws2026-03-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 20 23 26 39 + 4024 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

2198times
17215times
20193times
23210times
26

Prize breakdown · 2026-02-28

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 262k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$506.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$484.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$563.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
39169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,290 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 17, 23, 39) with the draw of 8 March 2023 — its closest relative in 1,290 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2026): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 12 by chanceNZ$21,169
  • Match 5377≈ 405 by chanceNZ$668
  • Match 4 + Bonus941≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 416,343≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,055≈ 22k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3223,385≈ 223k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 941 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$21,169
    Match 5377NZ$668
    Match 4 + Bonus941NZ$61.00
    Match 416,343NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,055NZ$23.00
    Match 3223,385NZ$0.00
    Totals262,115—