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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 10
  3. 20
  4. 25
  5. 29
  6. 30
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,348 of 1,359 under them

← 2026-09-12All recent draws2026-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 17 Sept 2026, 01:15 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 10 20 25 29 30 + 3524 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

82oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 82 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

1210times
10224times
20200times
25210times
29

Prize breakdown · 2026-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 237k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 644%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$409.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$404.1K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$463.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

210times
30192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,347 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 10, 20, 25) with the draw of 22 January 2025 — its closest relative in 1,347 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2026): 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 11 by chanceNZ$16,074
  • Match 5454≈ 364 by chanceNZ$456
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,207≈ 911 by chanceNZ$39.00
  • Match 417,057≈ 15k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,569≈ 19k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3200,864≈ 201k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,207 winners, 32% more than the 911 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$16,074
    Match 5454NZ$456
    Match 4 + Bonus1,207NZ$39.00
    Match 417,057NZ$24.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,569NZ$23.00
    Match 3200,864NZ$0.00
    Totals237,167—