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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 23 December 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 17
  3. 19
  4. 25
  5. 29
  6. 38
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 436 of 1,354 under them

← 2017-12-20All recent draws2017-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 17 19 25 29 38 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

1576times
1771times
1980times
2559times
29

Prize breakdown · 2017-12-23

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$571.3Kto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 270lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$87.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$308.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$81.3K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$94.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
3855times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

446times

Every number was expected about that many times after 435 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 19, 25, 29) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2016 — its closest relative in 435 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 December 2017): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball41≈ 35 by chanceNZ$1,140
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,505≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball20,563≈ 21k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$38,299
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball82NZ$113
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,258NZ$36.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,505 winners, 4% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$38,299
    Match 5 + Powerball41NZ$1,140
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball82NZ$113
    Match 4 + Powerball1,505NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,258NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Powerball20,563NZ$15.00
    Totals24,450—