Wednesday, 18 July 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 15, 24) with the draw of 10 March 2012 — its closest relative in 239 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2012): 37 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.