Wednesday, 25 November 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 23, 25) with the draw of 5 September 2015 — its closest relative in 589 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2015): 8 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.