Wednesday, 15 August 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 25, 27, 37) with the draw of 5 August 2015 — its closest relative in 873 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 167 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.