Friday, 22 February 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 27, 42) with the draw of 22 January 2019 — its closest relative in 58 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 February 2019): 4, 42 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 110 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.