Tuesday, 16 April 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 35, 39) with the draw of 5 February 2019 — its closest relative in 103 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 April 2019): 21, 42 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 157 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.