Sunday, 24 November 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 22, 40) with the draw of 18 October 2019 — its closest relative in 300 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2019): 2 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 156 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.