Thursday, 10 May 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 36, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 January 2016 — its closest relative in 315 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 May 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 36% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (25% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 179 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 153. No two numbers side by side. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.