Wednesday, 20 July 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 15) with the draw of 2 July 2011 — its closest relative in 469 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 89 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.