Friday, 5 February 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 16, 23, 28) with the draw of 21 March 2015 — its closest relative in 2,117 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2016): 16, 23 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 108 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.