Wednesday, 22 January 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 14, 25, 32) with the draw of 15 June 2019 — its closest relative in 3,557 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2020): 21 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.