Saturday, 8 August 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 17, 20, 27) with the draw of 28 January 2019 — its closest relative in 3,756 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2020): 6 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 77 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.