Sunday, 21 November 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 16, 19, 32) with the draw of 20 January 2021 — its closest relative in 4,225 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2021): 7 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 105 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 83. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.