Saturday, 24 July 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (10, 33) with the draw of 17 July 2010 — its closest relative in 32 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 105 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7, 7–8. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.