Wednesday, 24 October 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 11) with the draw of 17 October 2012 — its closest relative in 400 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.