Friday, 10 April 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 23, 24, 26) with the draw of 24 June 2016 — its closest relative in 1,564 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 April 2020): 1, 26 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 109 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.