Friday, 7 October 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 22, 32, 33) with the draw of 5 September 2022 — its closest relative in 1,953 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2022): 7, 33 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 133 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 31–32, 32–33. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.