Sunday, 1 October 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 30, 34) with the draw of 16 August 2017 — its closest relative in 1,985 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.