Sunday, 16 June 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 18, 19, 22) with the draw of 4 October 2017 — its closest relative in 2,378 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 June 2019): 19 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 100 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18, 18–19. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.