Tuesday, 9 April 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 7, 37) with the draw of 22 March 2019 — its closest relative in 19 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 April 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.