Tuesday, 29 October 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 13, 21) with the draw of 11 June 2019 — its closest relative in 77 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2019): 3, 12 carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 119 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.