Tuesday, 16 November 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 16, 37) with the draw of 24 September 2021 — its closest relative in 291 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 138 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.