Friday, 6 November 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (29, 32, 33, 38) with the draw of 25 November 2013 — its closest relative in 307 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 8.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2015): 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 155 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.