Tuesday, 7 February 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (31, 39) with the draw of 6 February 2023 — its closest relative in 684 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 February 2023): 31, 39 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 111 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.