Wednesday, 11 August 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (33, 35, 41) with the draw of 26 July 2010 — its closest relative in 95 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2010): 33 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 193 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 74% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.