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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 29 September 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 46
  7. 19

Jackpot$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015draw 300 of 339 under them

← 2014-09-27All recent draws2014-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 18 21 23 46 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 299 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap87th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

1024times
1336times
1842times
2140times
2332times
4631times
Stars · a separate 1-of-25 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

1910times

Every number was expected about that many times after 299 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 18, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 July 2014 — its closest relative in 299 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2014): 23 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 488kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$142Kto 65k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 412%$16.9K
  • Match 325%$34.9K
  • Match 240%$56.3K
  • 6 other tiers24%$33.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance$4,000,000
  2. Match 510≈ 6.6 by chance$1,217
  3. Match 4380≈ 372 by chance$44.50
  4. Match 36,981≈ 7.3k by chance$5.00
  5. Match 256,341≈ 59k by chance$1.00
  6. Match 4 plus Extra Shot2$1,113
  7. Match 3 plus Extra Shot22$125
  8. Match 2 plus Extra Shot218$25.00
  9. Match 1 plus Extra Shot730$10.00
  10. Match 0 plus Extra Shot795$5.00
  11. Match 5 plus Extra Shot0no winners
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈488k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,981 winners, 4% fewer than the 7.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 60$4,000,000
Match 5 plus Extra Shot0$0.00
Match 510$1,217
Match 4 plus Extra Shot2$1,113
Match 4380$44.50
Match 3 plus Extra Shot22$125
Match 36,981$5.00
Match 2 plus Extra Shot218$25.00
Match 256,341$1.00
Match 1 plus Extra Shot730$10.00
Match 0 plus Extra Shot795$5.00