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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 July 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 11
  5. 12
  6. 30

Jackpot$17,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 89 of 1,616 under them

← 2015-07-23All recent draws2015-07-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 9 11 12 3029 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 88 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap64th
  • neighbours95th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

411times
810times
96times
118times
12

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-25

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$17.3Mto 150k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 698%$17M
  • Match 30.6%$97.3K
  • Match 20.7%$125.7K
  • 7 other tiers0.6%$108.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

14times
3018times

Every number was expected about that many times after 88 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 12, 30) with the draw of 9 July 2015 — its closest relative in 88 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 11–12. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 5.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$17,000,000
  • Match 545≈ 14 by chance$541
  • Match 41,443≈ 797 by chance$23.50
  • Match 319,459≈ 16k by chance$5.00
  • Match 2125,713≈ 126k by chance$1.00
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot6$588
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot92$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot519$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,451$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,469$5.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,443 winners, 81% more than the 797 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$17,000,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$0.00
    Match 545$541
    Match 4 + Extra Shot6$588
    Match 41,443$23.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot92$125
    Match 319,459$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot519$25.00
    Match 2125,713$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,451$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,469$5.00
    Totals0—