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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 1 August 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 19
  4. 26
  5. 38
  6. 44

Jackpot$16,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 249 of 1,616 under them

← 2016-07-30All recent draws2016-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 19 26 38 4429 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 248 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

1128times
1646times
1933times
2625times
38

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 588kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$185.1Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 412%$21.9K
  • Match 324%$43.6K
  • Match 238%$70.7K
  • 6 other tiers26%$48.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
4419times

Every number was expected about that many times after 248 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 26, 38) with the draw of 11 January 2016 — its closest relative in 248 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2016): 16 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$16,500,000
  • Match 59≈ 8.0 by chance$1,746
  • Match 4438≈ 449 by chance$50.00
  • Match 38,718≈ 8.8k by chance$5.00
  • Match 270,715≈ 71k by chance$1.00
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,250
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot40$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot352$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,104$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,172$5.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈588k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,718 winners, 1% fewer than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$16,500,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$0.00
    Match 59$1,746
    Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,250
    Match 4438$50.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot40$125
    Match 38,718$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot352$25.00
    Match 270,715$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,104$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,172$5.00
    Totals0—