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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 1 October 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 30
  5. 43
  6. 50

Jackpot$16,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 588 of 1,616 under them

← 2018-09-29All recent draws2018-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 16 21 30 43 5029 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 587 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

279times
1689times
2169times
3079times
43

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 597kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$192.1Kto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 412%$23.1K
  • Match 323%$43.6K
  • Match 237%$71.7K
  • 6 other tiers28%$53.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
5068times

Every number was expected about that many times after 587 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 30, 43, 50) with the draw of 20 April 2015 — its closest relative in 587 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 37% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2018): 21, 30 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$16,000,000
  • Match 510≈ 8.1 by chance$1,651
  • Match 4462≈ 455 by chance$50.00
  • Match 38,720≈ 8.9k by chance$5.00
  • Match 271,743≈ 72k by chance$1.00
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,250
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot45$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot376$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,257$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,412$5.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈597k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,720 winners, 2% fewer than the 8.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$16,000,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$0.00
    Match 510$1,651
    Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,250
    Match 4462$50.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot45$125
    Match 38,720$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot376$25.00
    Match 271,743$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,257$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,412$5.00
    Totals0—