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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 23
  5. 25
  6. 51

Jackpot$3,050,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 941 of 1,616 under them

← 2020-12-31All recent draws2021-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 15 23 25 5129 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 940 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread60th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each

10120times
1492times
15103times
23102times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 489kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$169.1Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 411%$18.3K
  • Match 322%$37.9K
  • Match 235%$58.8K
  • 6 other tiers32%$54.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

92times
51123times

Every number was expected about that many times after 940 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 23) with the draw of 2 November 2020 — its closest relative in 940 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2020): 15 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$3,050,000
  • Match 59≈ 6.6 by chance$1,446
  • Match 4351≈ 373 by chance$52.00
  • Match 37,581≈ 7.3k by chance$5.00
  • Match 258,786≈ 59k by chance$1.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$36,150
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot1$1,300
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot55$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot450$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,367$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,610$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈489k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,581 winners, 4% more than the 7.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,050,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$36,150
    Match 59$1,446
    Match 4 + Extra Shot1$1,300
    Match 4351$52.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot55$125
    Match 37,581$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot450$25.00
    Match 258,786$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,367$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,610$5.00
    Totals70,210—