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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 10 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 6
  3. 8
  4. 20
  5. 37
  6. 48

Jackpot$4,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 996 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-05-08All recent draws2021-05-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 6 8 20 37 4829 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 995 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

2120times
6126times
8111times
20114times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-10

  • Lines in play≈ 313kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$151Kto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 48.4%$12.7K
  • Match 316%$24.4K
  • Match 250%$75.2K
  • 5 other tiers26%$38.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
48106times

Every number was expected about that many times after 995 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 6, 20, 37) with the draw of 14 January 2019 — its closest relative in 995 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,100,000
  • Match 58≈ 4.2 by chance$1,185
  • Match 4226≈ 238 by chance$56.00
  • Match 34,880≈ 4.7k by chance$5.00
  • Match 237,597≈ 38k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$29,613
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot0$1,400
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot38$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot329$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,049$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,158$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈313k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,880 winners, 5% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,100,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$29,613
    Match 58$1,185
    Match 4 + Extra Shot0$1,400
    Match 4226$56.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot38$125
    Match 34,880$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot329$25.00
    Match 237,597$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,049$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,158$5.00
    Totals45,285—