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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 17 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 19
  3. 23
  4. 27
  5. 45
  6. 47

Jackpot$4,550,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 999 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-05-15All recent draws2021-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 19 23 27 45 4729 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 998 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd99th
  • low50th
  • widest gap64th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

7120times
19122times
23106times
27115times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 306kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$154.4Kto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 48.0%$12.4K
  • Match 316%$24.5K
  • Match 248%$73.7K
  • 6 other tiers28%$43.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

116times
47107times

Every number was expected about that many times after 998 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 23, 27, 45) with the draw of 21 July 2016 — its closest relative in 998 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,550,000
  • Match 55≈ 4.2 by chance$1,874
  • Match 4272≈ 234 by chance$45.50
  • Match 34,897≈ 4.6k by chance$5.00
  • Match 236,850≈ 37k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$46,838
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,138
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot53$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot350$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,089$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,192$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈306k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,897 winners, 7% more than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,550,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$46,838
    Match 55$1,874
    Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,138
    Match 4272$45.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot53$125
    Match 34,897$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot350$25.00
    Match 236,850$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,089$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,192$5.00
    Totals44,710—