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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Thursday, 12 August 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 26
  6. 42

Jackpot$2,450,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 1,036 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-08-09All recent draws2021-08-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 21 22 26 4229 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,035 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each

4107times
8115times
21128times
22112times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 313kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$152.7Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 48.0%$12.3K
  • Match 317%$25.7K
  • Match 249%$75.2K
  • 5 other tiers26%$39.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

124times
42116times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,035 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 21, 22) with the draw of 30 March 2020 — its closest relative in 1,035 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,450,000
  • Match 53≈ 4.2 by chance$3,072
  • Match 4270≈ 238 by chance$45.50
  • Match 35,148≈ 4.7k by chance$5.00
  • Match 237,593≈ 38k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$76,800
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot0$1,138
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot47$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot330$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,068$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,087$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈313k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,148 winners, 10% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$2,450,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$76,800
    Match 53$3,072
    Match 4 + Extra Shot0$1,138
    Match 4270$45.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot47$125
    Match 35,148$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot330$25.00
    Match 237,593$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,068$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,087$5.00
    Totals45,546—