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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 19
  4. 33
  5. 40
  6. 47

Jackpot$2,750,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 1,055 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-09-23All recent draws2021-09-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 19 33 40 4729 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,054 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 122 of each

4112times
5114times
19130times
33124times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 285kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$140.8Kto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • Match 48.5%$11.9K
  • Match 315%$21.6K
  • Match 249%$68.6K
  • 6 other tiers27%$38.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.01 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

116times
47113times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,054 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 33, 40) with the draw of 3 May 2021 — its closest relative in 1,054 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 60% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,750,000
  • Match 59≈ 3.9 by chance$998
  • Match 4231≈ 218 by chance$51.50
  • Match 34,311≈ 4.3k by chance$5.00
  • Match 234,305≈ 34k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$24,950
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,288
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot35$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot300$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot980$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,092$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈285k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,311 winners, 1% more than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$2,750,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$24,950
    Match 59$998
    Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,288
    Match 4231$51.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot35$125
    Match 34,311$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot300$25.00
    Match 234,305$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot980$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,092$5.00
    Totals41,265—