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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 October 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 13
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 42

Jackpot$4,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 1,064 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-10-14All recent draws2021-10-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 13 20 26 4229 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,063 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread60th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 123 of each

1112times
6130times
13113times
20126times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 316kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$157.5Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 48.1%$12.7K
  • Match 316%$25.2K
  • Match 248%$76K
  • 6 other tiers28%$43.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

130times
42119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,063 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 13, 26, 42) with the draw of 25 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,063 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2021): 20 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,100,000
  • Match 54≈ 4.3 by chance$2,395
  • Match 4267≈ 241 by chance$47.50
  • Match 35,047≈ 4.7k by chance$5.00
  • Match 238,019≈ 38k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$59,875
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot3$1,188
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot43$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot363$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,041$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,101$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈316k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,047 winners, 7% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,100,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$59,875
    Match 54$2,395
    Match 4 + Extra Shot3$1,188
    Match 4267$47.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot43$125
    Match 35,047$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot363$25.00
    Match 238,019$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,041$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,101$5.00
    Totals45,888—