Saturday, 11 November 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (25, 33, 39, 43) with the draw of 1 October 2017 — its closest relative in 869 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 13% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 November 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 163 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.