Wednesday, 26 July 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (13, 34) with the draw of 19 July 2017 — its closest relative in 37 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 July 2017): 5 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 96 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.