Thursday, 21 November 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 11, 20, 23) with the draw of 7 June 2018 — its closest relative in 883 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 14% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 63 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.