Tuesday, 1 June 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 17, 19, 42) with the draw of 21 February 2021 — its closest relative in 1,441 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 May 2021): 42 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 138 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.