Thursday, 15 September 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 30, 33, 40) with the draw of 13 January 2019 — its closest relative in 1,912 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2022): 5 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 146 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.